Mousetrap
2025-07-07T06:39:02+00:00
两个高官讲的很直白很清楚了,可以说是摆在明面的阳谋了。
说白了,他们根据华为的进度来控制可出口产品的水平。因为哪怕昇腾和H20的性能处于一个等级,但英伟达有个华为无法比拟的优势:丰富成熟的CUDA生态。
因此只要提供H20这种过时产品,对于使用者来说,恐怕还是会更倾向于使用H20,生态的力量是强大的。
但假如说你连H20都不出口了,完全不开口子了,那这里这么多的大IT企业,也只能被逼着不断帮华为从零建起华为的生态。生态建起来后,这个未来对于美方来说就完全不可控而且很恐怖了。
所以就吊着,会严格限制,但不会完全封死,继续保持一定程度上的垄断性(CUDA生态),让东大IT企业继续帮CUDA生态添砖加瓦而不是去帮华为建设生态。啥时候华为觉得昇腾项目入不敷出砍掉了,那个时候反而可能是他们完全断掉H系列算力卡的时机点。
美国财长贝森特:中国本土制造商如华为已经有等效芯片。如果存在等效芯片,那么英伟达的H20就可以出售。我可以告诉你们,我们绝对不想看到数字化的一带一路在全球兴起。
白宫AI事务负责人大卫萨克斯,大体讲的差不多,讲的更具体一些。谈到了东大本土IT企业如果用不到H20的话,就不得不帮华为debug了。
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[img]https://img.nga.178.com/attachments/mon_202507/16/jmQ11w-hi40K17T3cSvm-5i.jpg[/img]
说白了,他们根据华为的进度来控制可出口产品的水平。因为哪怕昇腾和H20的性能处于一个等级,但英伟达有个华为无法比拟的优势:丰富成熟的CUDA生态。
因此只要提供H20这种过时产品,对于使用者来说,恐怕还是会更倾向于使用H20,生态的力量是强大的。
但假如说你连H20都不出口了,完全不开口子了,那这里这么多的大IT企业,也只能被逼着不断帮华为从零建起华为的生态。生态建起来后,这个未来对于美方来说就完全不可控而且很恐怖了。
所以就吊着,会严格限制,但不会完全封死,继续保持一定程度上的垄断性(CUDA生态),让东大IT企业继续帮CUDA生态添砖加瓦而不是去帮华为建设生态。啥时候华为觉得昇腾项目入不敷出砍掉了,那个时候反而可能是他们完全断掉H系列算力卡的时机点。
美国财长贝森特:中国本土制造商如华为已经有等效芯片。如果存在等效芯片,那么英伟达的H20就可以出售。我可以告诉你们,我们绝对不想看到数字化的一带一路在全球兴起。
白宫AI事务负责人大卫萨克斯,大体讲的差不多,讲的更具体一些。谈到了东大本土IT企业如果用不到H20的话,就不得不帮华为debug了。
[img]https://img.nga.178.com/attachments/mon_202507/16/jmQ11d-gy77K23T3cSsg-fz.jpg[/img]
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