CDC前负责人:如果纽约提前两个星期采取行动,死亡人数可能能降低80%

Sheriff Tater Tot-avatar

Sheriff Tater Tot

2020-04-02T18:29:13+00:00

thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/491737-former-cdc-head-if-new-york-enacted-social-distancing-2-weeks-earlier
他们终于发现指数增长是什么意思了。。。

[img]https://img.nga.178.com/attachments/mon_202004/09/-7Q5-e57aK16T1kSaf-ij.jpg[/img]
报道原文 ...
Former Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Director Tom Frieden said in a new interview that implementing social distancing measures two weeks earlier could have reduced New York’s coronavirus death toll up to 80 percent.

“Flu was coming down, and then you saw this new ominous spike. And it was COVID. And it was spreading widely in New York City before anyone knew it,” Frieden, who also served as commissioner of New York City’s Health Department, told The New York Times. “You have to move really fast. Hours and days. Not weeks. Once it gets a head of steam, there is no way to stop it.”

Taking steps such as closing schools, nonessential stores and restaurants could have reduced mortality between 50 and 80 percent, Frieden said.


Both the city and the state implemented such measures several weeks after orders in major cities in California and Washington state, two early epicenters of the virus in the U.S.

New York Mayor Bill de Blasio (D) continued to publicly encourage New Yorkers to go about their business as usual in early March and eventually ordered schools closed March 15 when the city had reached 329 cases, the Times noted, while San Francisco Mayor London Breed (D) closed schools three days earlier after the city had confirmed 18 cases.

At the state level, New York’s statewide stay-at-home order went into effect March 22, compared to California’s, which was ordered March 19.

“New York City as a whole was late in social measures,” Isaac B. Weisfuse, a former New York City deputy health commissioner, told the Times. “Any after-action review of the pandemic in New York City will focus on that issue. It has become the major issue in the transmission of the virus.”

Both de Blasio and Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D), the latter of whom has become one of the national faces of the response to the virus in his daily press briefings, defended their responses.

“Every action I took was criticized at the time as premature,” Cuomo told the Times. “The facts have proven my decisions correct.”

“We’re dealing with a virus that’s only months old and science that changes by the day ... hindsight is a luxury none of us have in the heat of battle,” de Blasio told the newspaper.

As of Wednesday morning, New York has confirmed 5,489 coronavirus deaths statewide, with the 731 deaths on Tuesday marking the biggest single-day total thus far.

机翻:
前疾病控制与预防中心(CDC)主任汤姆·弗里登(Tom Frieden)在新的采访中表示,两周前实施社会疏离措施可能会将纽约的冠状病毒死亡人数减少80%。

“流感正在降临,然后您看到了这个新的不祥峰值。那是COVID。弗雷登(Frieden)还是纽约市卫生局局长,他对《纽约时报》说。“您必须行动得非常快。数小时和数天。不是几周。一旦积压,就无法阻止它。”

弗里登说,采取诸如关闭学校,不必要的商店和餐馆之类的措施,可以将死亡率降低50%至80%。


在美国的两个较早震源州加利福尼亚和华盛顿州的主要城市下达命令后的数周,纽约市和纽约州都采取了此类措施。

时报指出,纽约市长比尔·德布拉西奥(D)继续公开鼓励纽约人在3月初照常营业,并最终命令学校在3月15日关闭,当时该市已达到329起案件,而旧金山市长伦敦品种(D)在该市确认18例病例后三天前关闭了学校。

在州一级,与3月19日下达的加利福尼亚州相比,纽约州在全州范围内的“全屋服务”订单于3月22日生效。

前纽约市卫生局副局长艾萨克·B·威斯富瑟(Isaac B. Weisfuse)对《纽约时报》表示:“整个纽约市在社会措施方面都来得晚。” “对纽约市大流行的任何事后审查都将集中于该问题。它已经成为病毒传播的主要问题。”

de Blasio和州长Andrew Cuomo(D)都在他的每日新闻发布会中成为应对这种病毒的国家面孔之一,为他们的应对辩护。

“当时我所采取的每项行动都被批评为时过早,”库莫告诉《纽约时报》。“事实证明我的决定是正确的。”

de Blasio对报纸说:“我们正在处理的病毒只有几个月的历史,并且科学每天都在发生变化……事后看来,我们是在激烈的战斗中没有人能拥有的奢侈品。”

截至周三上午,纽约已在全州确认了5489例冠状病毒死亡,其中周二的731例死亡是迄今为止最大的单日总数。
Zelos-avatar

Zelos

连这都被你发现了,看来太平洋海底光缆真的打通了?
ghostdog86-avatar

ghostdog86

[quote][pid=411742436,21193149,1]Reply[/pid] Post by [uid=60267587]梅囿仁[/uid] (2020-04-09 06:08):

连这都被你发现了,看来太平洋海底光缆真的打通了?[/quote]他们可能重新发现了一遍初中代数
Griffin-avatar

Griffin

想想看东京突破1000才发布紧急状态,可以预想下接下来东京会怎么样了。
FrostySlender-avatar

FrostySlender

他们只是按步就班,按照去年演习时写的剧本演,唯一的遗憾就是中国没有按剧本走,显得美国这么尴尬
GeekedUp-avatar

GeekedUp

然皇仅有中枢虚名
若新乡侯不允
明军不可入新乡一步
况流官乎
新乡太守三拜乡侯
泣求闭城御敌
乡侯不允
遇袭固有川皇自傲大意之过
新乡侯之过无人言之
东林党争耳
wolloHollow-avatar

wolloHollow

瘟疫就是这么恐怖,稍微处理不好就是指数性的增长。如果当初武汉没有可防可控外加万人宴,现在感染人数可能少个零,如果当初没有及时封城,现在国内感染人数应该会多个零 甚至更多。
Arlet-avatar

Arlet

说的跟他们现在行动了一样[s:ac:茶]傻逼鬼佬,给老子死!
CamQuan-avatar

CamQuan

两个礼拜?可算了吧。病毒源地加政府骚操作,提前两个月,不,两年都没机会控制住。
Captain John Price-avatar

Captain John Price

“也许当初能做点什么,可现在已经太晚了”.jpg

最后的阶段了[s:ac:哭笑]
Royal Panda-avatar

Royal Panda

没用的
这帮狗东西天天只会拿那个英国研究表明,中国早采取行动,可以减少95%来说事
MRSISTERFISTER-avatar

MRSISTERFISTER

[quote][pid=411742573,21193149,1]Reply[/pid] Post by [uid=392993]nbscxreal[/uid] (2020-04-09 06:12):

想想看东京突破1000才发布紧急状态,可以预想下接下来东京会怎么样了。[/quote]日本应该不会像纽约,毕竟大家都有戴口罩的习惯
Archy-avatar

Archy

这是到哪步了?